Posted by Dave Thewlis on April 08, 2008 at 13:02:42 from 75.111.50.119 user dthewlis.
In Reply to: Re: Cotton Wool Kids posted by Peter H on April 08, 2008 at 11:51:42:
Quite agree, Peter. But people seem to believe that chance is cumulative - if there's a one in 1,000 probability of winning the lottery then if they repeat enough their chances improve, which is nonsense - the probability is 1:1000 each time. I guess that must be "common sense", and it certainly is the case that people are far more likely to respond to anecdotes than statistical evidence. Dick would certainly have known better.